Top Ways To Predict Forex Price Movement
3 min readIf you ever analyze the trading setups of successful investors, you will find that the driving force behind their success is their ability to skilfully predict the price movements. To win a profitable deal in this sector, you need to have a clear understanding of how the market works and what the main factors that move the market are.
Getting to know the market has always proven to be helpful for traders as it makes space for investors to feel comfortable with the ever-changing market. Now, it is often seen that many beginners feel lost while looking at the charts. In that case, it highly unlikely for them to understand the optimum conditions for entering a trade. What should they do in such cases? We have some tips that can help you to successfully predict the price changes.
#1 Economic events
It is common sense that the stronger the economy of a country is, the more valuable its currency becomes. For example, the currencies of developed countries like the USA or Great Britain hold the highest value in the currency market. So, the state of an economy has a great influence on the value of a currency. But how do you know whether an economy is strong or not? Several events show the state of an economy and these events are subject to news releases. That means, these events take place at a specific time and are disclosed to the general public.
These news events indicate how efficient an economy is. There can be several indicators or geopolitical situations that are included in these economic events. Since they take place at a certain time, keeping an eye on them can give you some insight into how it might affect the currency market. If you are new to the options trading industry, keep yourself tuned in to economic events so that they can take better trades without much trouble.
#2 Currency correlation
This term may be unfamiliar to many of the beginners out there. But it is very important when it comes to predicting the sudden price changes in the market. In the Forex market, the currency pairs are all dependent on one another. An increase in the value of one currency can deeply influence the movement of another. This movement can both be in a similar direction or the opposite direction. When the correlation between two currency pairs remains between 0 to +1, it means that when one pair moves, the other will start moving in the same direction. In contrast, when the correlation is between -1 to 0, the currency pairs move in opposite directions.
Again, there may be pairs that are out of the influence of other currencies. So, in that case, even if a change in the price of any currency pair takes place, the price movement of the other currency will be random. Then we can say that they do not correlate.
Now, you may trade with a single or multiple currency pairs. But when you are analyzing the price charts of more than one currency pair in your trade, you will be able to understand when the movement of one pair will affect the other. In that way, you will be able to predict the price changes.
#3 Drawing trend lines
If you invest your time in learning to draw the trend lines, you will definitely learn to trade in a better way. Drawing trend lines can require a lot of patience alongside accuracy. But once you are done with drawing a flawless one, you will find it very helpful to determine where the price will go next. In this market, nothing is more valuable than speculation. So, whenever you have some spare time, invest it in drawing the trend lines and analyzing them. This will ultimately guide you to the best trade execution points.
You might not be able to predict the price movements flawlessly at the very beginning. Well, no one can. So, instead of losing hope in the event of a failure, you should keep your spirits up and try harder to successfully predict the price movements.
